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What could overhauling property taxes mean for local government IOUs in Florida?

Residential neighborhoods are seen in Doral, Fla., Saturday, April 5, 2025.
Rebecca Blackwell
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AP
Residential neighborhoods are seen in Doral, Fla., Saturday, April 5, 2025.

Sidewalks, park benches and local bridges. Libraries, stormwater drains and arts centers.

These are just some of the items local governments borrow money to pay for. And they use local property taxes to pay back the loans.

"Property tax base is kind of the key revenue source that's driving a significant amount of the revenue that they're pledging to repay in a timely and in full their debt obligations," said Tom Zemetis, director at the credit rating agency S&P Global.

Importantly, local governments pledge future property taxes to pay for all types of projects today by borrowing billions of dollars to be paid back, often using property tax money. But the future of property taxes in Florida is up for debate.

Gov. Ron DeSantis has made it a priority for the upcoming legislative session to reduce or eliminate some local property taxes.
Only voters can do that and the governor wants one proposed constitutional amendment to appear on next year's ballot.

What that proposal will be is up in the air and that uncertainty makes it impossible to figure out how any changes to property taxes could impact local government bonds.

There are several limitations on property taxes already in place in Florida. Property taxes can't go up by more than 3% a year for owner-occupied homes and condominiums. There are several exemptions that reduce the taxable value of those homes and condos, as well.

The predictability factor is important.

"Property taxes historically are a more stable type and predictable type of revenue stream," said S&P Global Director Jennifer Garza. "It's a fixed tax rate on the taxable assessed value of the entirety of the property base for that local governmental entity."

The predictability of property taxes, even in Hurricane-prone and housing market boom-and-bust Florida, is what attracts investors to buy bonds of local governments when borrowing tens or hundreds of millions of dollars at a time. It's also what allows local governments to budget and borrow money for big projects that otherwise would be tough to pay for.

There are other tax sources local governments pledge to borrow money such as sales taxes, but those can be more vulnerable to ups and downs.

"The economically sensitive types of revenue streams can inherently be more volatile and less predictable than property tax revenue," Garza said.

Garza's colleague at S&P, Oscar Padilla, contrasted the stability of Florida's property tax trend to property in Texas — where it is more susceptible to the whims of commodity prices.

"Florida (doesn't) have minerals that they're extracting like you would in Odessa or Midland or anywhere in the Texas Panhandle," he said. "The predictability factor is important."

READ MORE: 'If we gut the system, communities get gutted': Lawmaker's warning on cutting Florida property taxes

Overhauling the long-established property tax structure as the governor has talked about is a wildcard for cities and counties, said Zemetis. The eventual changes, assuming there are big changes, may require a "paradigm shift" for local governments and their approach to borrowing money, Zsaid.

"They may need to rethink how they're spending their money to what extent maybe they need to dial back certain services or offerings, if in the event that they're unable to match that with corresponding increases in the revenue sources," he said.

Opponents of wholesale changes to some property taxes in Florida have focused their criticisms on questioning how local governments would pay for services if non-school property taxes were reduced or eliminated.

Supporters of cutting or getting rid of most non-school property taxes have concentrated on their philosophical opposition to property taxes for primary homes and condos, and their desire to examine local government spending.

It's important to note what property taxes seem to be at the center of the debate. It is taxes that are not levied by public school districts, nor taxes used to pay for police. The primary focus is on general property taxes paid by home and condo owners on the homes and condos in which they live.

Florida House Speaker Daniel Perez, R-Miami
Courtesy / Florida House Speaker's Office
/
Florida House Speaker's Office
Florida House Speaker Daniel Perez, R-Miami

Still, a lot is up-in-the-air with Florida lawmakers debating what could be significant and historic changes to property taxes that are often used to pay for everyday services and big spending projects when local governments borrow money and use property taxes to pay back those loans.

"I  think a lot of that is going to depend on how these local governments are able to balance their budgets and where they're able to cut in order to still have the funds necessary to make those bonds stand on their own two feet," House Speaker Daniel Perez told The Florida Roundup.

A special Florida House committee formed to lead the effort examining local property taxes has held four meetings. Local government borrowing and the potential impact on changes to the credit worthiness of local governments has not been mentioned. Yet, property taxes play a key role in determining how much local governments can borrow and at what price.

The credit rating of a county or city depends on a number of factors. That credit rating — like a consumer's credit score — helps determine how much the borrowed money will cost. The better the credit rating, the lower the interest rate, and the cheaper it is to borrow the money.

The effect of substantially cutting some property taxes or getting rid of them entirely would be new territory for the market of municipal bonds.

"(It) would be pretty material if (lawmakers) decided to say, 'Okay, as of tomorrow, everything that's supported by property tax, you don't have a funding source for the debt,'" said Garza, though she does not anticipate that is what will come out of the legislative session for Florida voters to decide next November.

Copyright 2025 WLRN

Tom Hudson
In a journalism career covering news from high global finance to neighborhood infrastructure, Tom Hudson is the Vice President of News and Special Correspondent for WLRN. He hosts and produces the Sunshine Economy and anchors the Florida Roundup in addition to leading the organization's news engagement strategy.Hudson was most recently the co-anchor and managing editor of Nightly Business Report on Public Television. In that position Hudson reported on topics such as Federal Reserve interest rate policy, agriculture and global trade. Prior to co-anchoring NBR, he was host and managing editor of the nationally syndicated financial television program “First Business.” He overhauled the existing program leading to a 20 percent increase in distribution in his first year with the program.Tom also reported and anchored market coverage for the groundbreaking web-based financial news service, WebFN. Beginning in 2001, WebFN was among the first live online streaming video outlets. While there he reported regularly from the Chicago Board Options Exchange, Chicago Board of Trade and the CME. Additionally, he created original business news and information programming for the investor channel of a large e-brokerage firm distributed to six large market CBS Radio stations. Before his jump to television and broadband, Tom co-anchored morning drive for the former all-news, heritage 50kw WMAQ-AM/Chicago. He spent the better part of a decade in general news as anchor, reporter, manager and talk show host in several markets covering a wide variety of stories and topics.He has served as a member of the adjunct faculty in the Journalism Department of Columbia College Chicago and has been a frequent guest on other TV and radio programs as well as a guest speaker at universities on communications, journalism and business.Tom writes a weekly column for the Miami Herald and the McClatchy-Tribune News Service. He appears regularly on KNX-AM/Los Angeles and WBBM-AM/Chicago for commentary on the economy and investment markets.While Tom was co-anchoring and managing NBR, the program was awarded the 2012 Program of Excellence Award by American Public Television. Tom also has been awarded two National Press Foundation fellowships including one for the Wharton Seminars for Business Journalists in 2006. He graduated Phi Beta Kappa from the University of Iowa and is the recipient of several professional honors and awards for his work in journalism.He is married with two boys who tend to wake up early on the weekends.